{"document":{"schema":"public_benchmark.v1","is_benchmark":true,"what_this_is":"A benchmark-specific subset over a standard public rule universe: net edge plus universe deflation, CPCV plus concentration, and matched-placebo mortality, followed by a HOLD disclosure. It reuses shared assay primitives but is NOT the full paid Gauntlet, does not write the tenant trial ledger, is NOT organic user history, and is NOT a performance claim.","universe":{"rules":18000,"symbols":["ADA/USDT","BNB/USDT","BTC/USDT","ETH/USDT","LTC/USDT","SOL/USDT","XRP/USDT"],"pairs":126000,"source":"classic technical trading rules x crypto blue-chips (Sullivan/Timmermann/White lineage)"},"method":{"fee_bps_per_side":10.0,"entry_lag_bars":1,"deflation_n_trials":18000,"placebos_per_survivor":500},"funnel":[{"stage":"start","question":"rules x markets","survivors":126000},{"stage":"net_edge","question":"profit left after costs + one-bar entry lag?","survivors":113726},{"stage":"universe_deflation","question":"does the Sharpe survive pricing in that 18000 rules were searched? (deflated Sharpe + BH-adjusted p)","survivors":264},{"stage":"stability","question":"combinatorial purged CV + bar-concentration","survivors":247},{"stage":"placebo","question":"beats 500 random-timing placebos of the same structure on the same asset?","survivors":245},{"stage":"hold_comparison","question":"beats simply HOLDING the asset (disclosure, not a kill)","survivors":41}],"headline":{"survivors":245,"survival_rate_pct":0.194,"beats_holding_return":41,"beats_holding_sharpe":245,"plain":"Of 126,000 rule-market pairs, 245 clear this benchmark-specific subset (0.194%); only 41 beat simply holding the asset. Deflation -- the size of the search -- is the mass killer, not the market."},"honest_limits":["In-sample over one frozen window; not a forward or live result.","Long/flat only, 10 bps/side; different costs move the survivors.","Demote-only: survival is evidence of robustness, never a signal or a recommendation to trade.","No winning rules are published -- this is a mortality benchmark, not a recipe."],"reproducibility":{"deterministic":true,"deterministic_given_exact_inputs":true,"independently_byte_reproducible_from_response":false,"universe_version":"v1","run_label":"full","data_manifest":{"exchange":"binance","min_bars":1460,"fetched_at":"2026-07-09T11:35:54Z"},"note":"The computation is deterministic given the exact Universe v1 definition and exact cached candles. The method and universe construction can be rerun with independently fetched data, but the frozen aggregate is not independently byte-reproducible from this response: cached candles, complete ranges, and content hashes are not published in its summary manifest."},"disclaimer":"Aggregate falsification statistics over a published rule universe. Demote-only research output. NOT financial advice, no order path."},"signature_b64":"lX01AaEUQ56o6UIimiC4jBdpw5CikQ6Q//pemKvXrfTV09i4b9FDhGwdVmJvFJ0wIu+ABdV5eO0lZKQ7B9xmBg==","public_key_id":"key_9961d9e3190d69a6","signature_alg":"Ed25519","canonicalization":"json-sort-keys-ascii-nospace-nfc-float12","verify_hint":"Hosted full platform trust: assay_certificate_verify(document, signature_b64, public_key_pem). Offline raw-signature evidence over the declared canonical bytes only: alphaassay-verify signature-only (python -m alphaassay_verify signature-only). Full offline platform trust also requires a signed trust bundle and independently pinned root/checkpoint history."}